You betcha, Red Rider! And a lot of fun too!MSimon wrote:There is a lot of thinking between $11,000 and $1.
I suspect the KITE-HASTOL combo might take it down by two of those 4 orders of magnitude. Not a bad first step.
First one or two what? Terawatts?KitemanSA wrote:Mayhaps I do understand. Despite some of the publicity, I suspect they will lose a bit of money on the first one or two (or dozen).
No. I don't think it could ever be commercially viable even if launch costs are effectively free.KitemanSA wrote:Then they will start SERIOUSLY reducing those costs and shazaam, it MAY actually become commercially viable. A most exciting proposition, no?
Soylent wrote:First one or two what? Terawatts?KitemanSA wrote:Mayhaps I do understand. Despite some of the publicity, I suspect they will lose a bit of money on the first one or two (or dozen).
Well, I guess we will have to agree to disagree, but my recollection of the results of many a Space Development Conference was that this could almost be cost effective even with $500/kg to orbit if lunar resources were used for the main masses. Many of the issues you raised have been reviewed and solutions proposed decades ago.The fixed costs are spectacular apart from just the launch cost.
You need a ~1 km diameter 2.4 GHz microwave antenna to be constructed in space. You need a ~10 km diameter rectenna on the ground and most likely a buffer of about 10-20 km around the damned thing. In order for the rectenna to get a power density of a mere 100 W/m^2 you need 8 GW of incomming microwaves; in other words it's the same order of magnitude as cumulative world production of solar panels, and you need very lightweight versions. This whole thing needs some decent thrusters to counteract the solar wind.
The solar panels would last only about 20 years on the ground; in space they will be bathed in ionizing radiation and experience large, repetitive temperature swings.
You'll need to invert the low-voltage DC from the panels to low voltage AC, step up to high voltage AC, transmit it to the antenna, step down to low voltage AC, invert to DC, transmit microwaves to rectenna on Earth, invert to AC and finally step up to grid voltage(if you're far from consumers you may have to put in two additional steps and use HVDC).
No. I don't think it could ever be commercially viable even if launch costs are effectively free.KitemanSA wrote:Then they will start SERIOUSLY reducing those costs and shazaam, it MAY actually become commercially viable. A most exciting proposition, no?
$500 a kg? Well that is encouraging. They could break even with a 20X reduction in launch costs. Now how about a profit?KitemanSA wrote::o Good one :lol:Soylent wrote:First one or two what? Terawatts?KitemanSA wrote:Mayhaps I do understand. Despite some of the publicity, I suspect they will lose a bit of money on the first one or two (or dozen).
But no, obviously I meant satellites.Well, I guess we will have to agree to disagree, but my recollection of the results of many a Space Development Conference was that this could almost be cost effective even with $500/kg to orbit if lunar resources were used for the main masses. Many of the issues you raised have been reviewed and solutions proposed decades ago.The fixed costs are spectacular apart from just the launch cost.
You need a ~1 km diameter 2.4 GHz microwave antenna to be constructed in space. You need a ~10 km diameter rectenna on the ground and most likely a buffer of about 10-20 km around the damned thing. In order for the rectenna to get a power density of a mere 100 W/m^2 you need 8 GW of incomming microwaves; in other words it's the same order of magnitude as cumulative world production of solar panels, and you need very lightweight versions. This whole thing needs some decent thrusters to counteract the solar wind.
The solar panels would last only about 20 years on the ground; in space they will be bathed in ionizing radiation and experience large, repetitive temperature swings.
You'll need to invert the low-voltage DC from the panels to low voltage AC, step up to high voltage AC, transmit it to the antenna, step down to low voltage AC, invert to DC, transmit microwaves to rectenna on Earth, invert to AC and finally step up to grid voltage(if you're far from consumers you may have to put in two additional steps and use HVDC).
No. I don't think it could ever be commercially viable even if launch costs are effectively free.KitemanSA wrote:Then they will start SERIOUSLY reducing those costs and shazaam, it MAY actually become commercially viable. A most exciting proposition, no?