At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

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Schneibster
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

Teahive wrote:Observing climate change is one thing.
And we've done it. Look at the Arctic.
Teahive wrote:Showing that it's significantly influenced by human action is another.
All you need is an almanac and the ability to do arithmetic.
Teahive wrote:Coming up with technically feasible ways to favorably influence climate is a third.
How's removing carbon from the atmosphere by turning it into gasoline or diesel, using sunlight, grab you?
Teahive wrote:Political feasibility is yet another thing.
No politics required. The oil companies will be doing it themselves after the first billion die and the first nukes go off.
Teahive wrote:And then you have to consider costs and benefits of different courses of action, including unintended consequences.
Well, the consequences of doing nothing will be 2.5 to 3.5 billion deaths. How much does that cost? How about a city blown away with a nuclear weapon? How much is that worth? How about a 1000-year hurricane in New York? How much will that cost?
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Teahive
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Teahive »

Schneibster wrote:How's removing carbon from the atmosphere by turning it into gasoline or diesel, using sunlight, grab you?
I'm fairly optimistic about biofuel production (that does not significantly affect food prices). But it won't be a perceived need to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that will keep it running. It will simply turn out to be cheaper than digging and drilling. Besides, fuel is not a carbon sink if you burn it with little delay.

Similarly, I believe that electric cars will, within less than two decades, take over the majority of the market. But a possible reduction in CO2 emissions (depending on the grid) isn't high up on the list of reasons why.

Schneibster wrote:Well, the consequences of doing nothing will be 2.5 to 3.5 billion deaths. How much does that cost? How about a city blown away with a nuclear weapon? How much is that worth? How about a 1000-year hurricane in New York? How much will that cost?
There is no sensible way of replying to this.

Schneibster
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Location: Monterey, CA, USA

Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

Teahive wrote:
Schneibster wrote:How's removing carbon from the atmosphere by turning it into gasoline or diesel, using sunlight, grab you?
I'm fairly optimistic about biofuel production (that does not significantly affect food prices). But it won't be a perceived need to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that will keep it running. It will simply turn out to be cheaper than digging and drilling. Besides, fuel is not a carbon sink if you burn it with little delay.
How about a repository? How about a cycle, like nature does it? Instead of pretending we're not going to burn any, or it's not going to hurt anything if we do? I'm not real fond of games of "let's pretend." We're going to burn it, and if we don't get to work it's going to create global warming, probably to undesirable levels near or past the PETM, and billions will die. We can do it then, or die, or we can do it now and avoid all the deaths. The only question is how quickly we'll get to it. If any of the five (five!) potential technologies for removing carbon from the air and sequestering it as fuel, using solar energy, were pursued as The Bomb was pursued in WWII we'd be done in a few years and we'd never have to worry about it. These aren't questionable pursuits; they've produced algae that is filled with diesel instead of fats and sugars, and E. Coli that crap gasoline, and tested one of the catalysts, a chemical one, titanium and something else unobjectionable, not poisonous, put it on a pedestal in your yard and gasoline condenses from it. No power; it uses sunlight. A little more comes out when it's sunny, a little less when it's not. You can put it in your car, for direct fuel savings, or sell it. The fourth one was a carbon nanotube catalyst, much the same idea as the other one. The fifth I can't recall off the top of my head. Any one of them would lead to immediate solutions for the investment of a measly ten million, much less a hundred million; fund all five of them for less than half a billion dollars. What are we waiting for?

Frankly we're waiting for the Republicans to stop having their temper tantrum because a black President got elected, the same thing as we're waiting for to do, wait for it, polywell fusion. If someone spent a hundred million on this, it would be possible to build a big enough one to confirm the seventh power scaling, correct? So what are we waiting for? Greedy people to stop worrying about their taxes?

Why are there any meshbacks or creationists or global warming deniers on here? To try to sabotage it? That's what your representatives are doing in Congress and you keep voting for them.
Teahive wrote:Similarly, I believe that electric cars will, within less than two decades, take over the majority of the market. But a possible reduction in CO2 emissions (depending on the grid) isn't high up on the list of reasons why.
That will only help if they don't generate the electricity with coal.

Now I'm not against nuclear, but it looks like it's got a really major image problem just at the moment. Maybe you forgot.
Teahive wrote:
Schneibster wrote:Well, the consequences of doing nothing will be 2.5 to 3.5 billion deaths. How much does that cost? How about a city blown away with a nuclear weapon? How much is that worth? How about a 1000-year hurricane in New York? How much will that cost?
There is no sensible way of replying to this.
If the temperature rises 3C we will be growing wheat in Canada not the US.

Think about it.

Where do you think food comes from?

Do you think they're just making stuff up about the hurricanes getting stronger? Have you not been watching the disaster statistics? This, again, is an almanac exercise. See that big spike? That's us, now. Notice they only peripherally report Pacific hurricanes? Here's something to consider: when has Mexico had two hurricanes, one on each coast? Well, it happened just last week or so. You won't like the answer if you look it up.

When their people are having food riots do you suppose the Pakistani and Indian governments are going to be able to keep each side, convinced the other is lying and has plenty and is laughing and watching them die, will not have a nuclear exchange? The Pakistanis, by all evidence, will, whatever the Indians do. These people have hundreds of nuclear weapons each, mounted mostly on ballistic missiles. This won't be minor. It will have effects worldwide on the weather. And on the radiation count. And what's to hold them back? A half-billion starving people will invade the government and do it for them if they don't. "For the children," they'll cry. "Death to the unbelievers." "Allah Akhbar." That's the propaganda their government is feeding them. You can watch it for yourself: I read the Pak Daily Times at least once a week; I have been for about eight years. You will find out what teaparty government would be like if you do that.
Last edited by Schneibster on Wed Oct 09, 2013 11:14 pm, edited 3 times in total.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Stubby
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Stubby »

Wheat is already grown in Canada :P
Everything is bullshit unless proven otherwise. -A.C. Beddoe

Schneibster
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

Stubby wrote:Wheat is already grown in Canada :P
How much? :D

And when the growing region moves north, in what dirt? It's all been scraped clean by the glaciers over the current Ice Age. That's why it's so rich down in the US and Canadian midwest.

OK, now go look at Siberia. And Belarus and the Ukraine. It's not going to be limited to North America.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Teahive
Posts: 362
Joined: Mon Dec 06, 2010 10:09 pm

Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Teahive »

Schneibster wrote:Any one of them would lead to immediate solutions for the investment of a measly ten million, much less a hundred million; fund all five of them for less than half a billion dollars. What are we waiting for?
These technologies are going to happen, government funding or not. Not because they reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide, but because they make economic sense.

That's why I made the analogy with electric cars. Electric cars won't win because they're green, they will win because they're better.

Schneibster
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

Teahive wrote:
Schneibster wrote:Any one of them would lead to immediate solutions for the investment of a measly ten million, much less a hundred million; fund all five of them for less than half a billion dollars. What are we waiting for?
These technologies are going to happen, government funding or not. Not because they reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide, but because they make economic sense.

That's why I made the analogy with electric cars. Electric cars won't win because they're green, they will win because they're better.
You might be right, but I wouldn't want to bet my ass on it considering the guys who said they all were gonna make us rich have blown the entire world economy twice in a century, and now you want them to develop this. I'm having trouble mustering any trust for them.

Question: who's more unpopular than a teabagger congresscritter?
Answer: a Wall Street bankster.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

choff
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by choff »

We've only been growing and exporting wheat in Canada since first settling hundreds of years ago, they were also growing Barley in Greenland during the MWP BTW. In my town we have Palm Trees, they grow under the old growth on Vancouver Island's west coast.
CHoff

Schneibster
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

choff wrote:We've only been growing and exporting wheat in Canada since first settling hundreds of years ago, they were also growing Barley in Greenland during the MWP BTW. In my town we have Palm Trees, they grow under the old growth on Vancouver Island's west coast.
You didn't answer my question: how much?
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

choff
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by choff »

The sixth largest producer in the world.

http://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/? ... production
CHoff

Stubby
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Stubby »

Schneibster wrote:
Stubby wrote:Wheat is already grown in Canada :P
How much? :D

And when the growing region moves north, in what dirt? It's all been scraped clean by the glaciers over the current Ice Age. That's why it's so rich down in the US and Canadian midwest.

OK, now go look at Siberia. And Belarus and the Ukraine. It's not going to be limited to North America.
We have prairie grassland just like you folks. The main difference is that we still have our top soil and yours mostly blew away during the Great Dust Bowl because of stupid farming practices.

Your biggest problem right now is your aquifer. If it keeps depleting at it current rate, there is going to be a big problem in the midwest in the new future.
About 27 percent of the irrigated land in the United States overlies the aquifer, which yields about 30 percent of the ground water used for irrigation in the United States. Since 1950, agricultural irrigation has reduced the saturated volume of the aquifer by an estimated 9%. Depletion is accelerating, with 3% lost between 2001 and 2008 alone. Certain aquifer zones are now empty; these areas will take over 100,000 years to replenish naturally through rainfall.

The aquifer system supplies drinking water to 82 percent of the 2.3 million people (1990 census) who live within the boundaries of the High Plains study area.
Last edited by Stubby on Thu Oct 10, 2013 1:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
Everything is bullshit unless proven otherwise. -A.C. Beddoe

Schneibster
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Location: Monterey, CA, USA

Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

Stubby wrote:
Schneibster wrote:
Stubby wrote:Wheat is already grown in Canada :P
How much? :D

And when the growing region moves north, in what dirt? It's all been scraped clean by the glaciers over the current Ice Age. That's why it's so rich down in the US and Canadian midwest.

OK, now go look at Siberia. And Belarus and the Ukraine. It's not going to be limited to North America.
We have prairie grassland just like you folks. The main difference is that we still have our top soil and yours mostly blew away during the Great Dust Bowl because of stupid farming practices.
No, that was the southern part, in Oklahoma. Not as bad as Texas but bad. They'll be uninhabitable in about forty or sixty years. Hopefully most of it blew north.

I think we should build a fence. Keep out the Texies and Oakies. They voted for it, let them do the starving.
Last edited by Schneibster on Thu Oct 10, 2013 1:02 am, edited 4 times in total.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

choff
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by choff »

Since your interested in alternative oil production, you might want to do a search on the Kerrick process, high pressure steam distillation, you get oil, kerosene, and smokeless semichar coking coal, ideal for environmentally benign heating as well as industrial use. Byproducts also include feed stock for fertilizer, plastic and pharmaceuticals. Breakeven is $45.00 per barrel, patents expired long ago, developed in the USA in the 20's, beats anything the Germans developed for the war, lots of hydrogen rich water gas as well.
CHoff

Schneibster
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by Schneibster »

choff wrote:The sixth largest producer in the world.

http://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/? ... production
Better check here. And remember where China is, and why so many people live there.

How much more do you think you could grow? How much farther north, assuming you get the heat from global warming? And here's a question, where you gonna get the water? We have the Ogallala Aquifer down here in the US; you guys don't have anything like that. Have you checked a geological map and seen where the topsoil gives way to granite?

And wait until the bugs get to BC. I lived up in Washington State in the '00s, and you are in for the shock of your life. They're still trying to deny it up on the Olympic Peninsula. The clearcut holes, where they're trying to stop the beetle, are like great big bites out of the earth. And still they deny. Good luck with that.

They are so screwed. And they so can't believe it. And so won't you. I was born there. I camped in that forest. I improved public paths, repairing rain damage and so forth, on horses, in the early '70s. My wife and I went there for a significant date in the '00s. I was almost sick to my stomach from what I saw driving on the highway. Every five miles, another huge scoop out of the earth, as if a monster's foot had come down and smashed everything flat, and then they'd gone digging in the footprint because there were people under there or something. They're trying to eradicate the beetles before they eat the entire freaking state.

Enjoy. It's headed your way. And having driven through it, Oregon is worse.

I live in Monterey. We have gypsy moth eating the oaks.
Last edited by Schneibster on Thu Oct 10, 2013 1:22 am, edited 4 times in total.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

choff
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Re: At this point kicking me off looks like a cowardly move.

Post by choff »

We had a dustbowl during the 30's as well, it was called the Palliser Triangle. Interesting development, deserts are in retreat worldwide, you can blame the CO2. There was an interesting TED talk someone posted about how cattle herds prevent/reverse soil erosion, have to see if I can find it when I have more time.
CHoff

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