choff wrote:There's a whole mythology built up about the CF105 Avro Arrow.
Two competing sets, apparently. One side believes it was superior in every way to every other fighter ever developed before or since, and that the CIA got it cancelled because it could shoot down the U-2. The other believes it was a sideslipping pig that couldn't quite hit Mach 2, had a ferry range of 200 statute miles, and would have cost more than a billion dollars just to finish developing, plus twelve times as much to produce as an American interceptor.
Then there's the Phantomheads, who seem to think the
F-4 of all things was comprehensively superior to the Arrow... but I digress...
The Soviets ran a beautiful decoy operation that the Canadian Airforce fell for hook, line and sinker. They produced a 4 engined delta winged bomber and claimed it was supersonic and intercontinental, when actually it could only make a short subsonic flyby at the MayDay parade. Then they claimed it was going to be mass produced.
Eisenhower, and a handful of trusted people with access to the U2 flight photos, knew it was all bluff, and they prevented the U.S. aircraft industry from building and selling super expensive mach 2.5/3 interceptors to the U.S. airforce.
Meanwhile the Canadian government just about bankrupted the economy building the CF105 to interdict the nonexistent bomber threat. It severely crippled the budget for the rest of the military and created a huge tax burden for most of the country. When it was cancelled, people in the industrial heartland cried foul since they were the only beneficiaries of all that spending.
The above is not true.
Avro got a requirements document in early 1952, before the first flight of the M-4 Молот. In fact, the Globe and Mail got wind of the plan to replace the CF-100 almost as soon as there
was a plan, in January of that year IIRC. The AIR7-3 spec was issued in early 1953, before the "Bomber Gap" hysteria started, well before the first public display of the M-4 on May Day 1954 and long before the multiple-flyby stunt (not to mention the U-2's first flight) in mid-1955.
The Arrow project was started for roughly the same reasons the 1954 Interceptor project was started, and the differences between the F-106 and the CF-105 were due largely to geographical differences between the U.S. and Canada, not to a difference in threat perception. The advanced U.S. interceptors you're probably thinking of were the XF-103 and the XF-108, both cancelled at roughly the same time as the Arrow (though they weren't nearly as far along).
The cost of the CF-105 was not excessive. The projected incremental cost per airframe at the time of cancellation was $3.75M - comparable to that of the significantly-inferior F-106 - and the development program had already spent ~70-80% of what it was going to. With Astra-1/Sparrow-2D (a very advanced radar coupled with what was essentially an AMRAAM), the program would have been far more expensive - assuming the troubled Sparrow-2D had been successful at all. But Astra/Sparrow was cancelled in 1958 in favour of the existing Hughes MA-1/GAR-3 Falcon system, as Avro had been insisting it should be.
The incremental cost to finish and deploy the Arrow was actually less than the projected cost of a proposed replacement system (which comprised an equal number of F-106s combined with SAGE/Bomarc) plus cancellation charges. Of course, under NORAD the SAGE/Bomarc system was just about mandatory, even though the CF-105 didn't need SAGE, and Bomarc was virtually useless with only two bases...
Actually, with the savings from not paying cancellation charges taken into account, the total cost of switching out the 100 F-106s for 100 CF-105s in the proposed replacement system would have been only a couple hundred million dollars extra, in a roughly billion-dollar multi-year expenditure. The American offer to pay for the missiles and fire control systems, if accepted, would have made up a good chunk of the difference, even discounting their offer to buy us a squadron (or more) of the planes. Hundreds of millions of dollars would have been spent in Canada instead of the United States, and the interceptor force would have been
much better suited to its task... of course, ultimately even the F-106 option was scrubbed due to poor understanding of the strategic environment, and stayed scrubbed due to potential political embarrassment...
The national defense budget in 1959-1960 was actually higher than the previous year ($1672M versus $1635M). The Army and Navy were
not agitating to cancel; they wanted a review of the program first, since obviously national security trumped budget concerns. The cost problem was not with the aircraft itself, but with trying to finish and deploy it
and do SAGE/Bomarc at the same time. And at this point, both Canada and the U.K. were under the impression that manned bombers and interceptors were on the way out, and that missiles were the future. Canada got sold a bag of goods on that one... of course we found out we needed interceptors anyway, and got stuck with a bunch of used F-101s, more than two years later due to political issues with reversing on the "we don't need interceptors" nonsense.
It's just as well nuclear-tipped Bomarcs weren't our sole line of defense against Tu-95 incursions over the next half century...