Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

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Schneibster
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Schneibster »

Jccarlton wrote:Is the Commenter STILL waving that desmog page around after I totally destroyed it?
Where? Links and quotes please. You are boasting; either prove it or be labeled a liar.

If you don't produce them I'm going back to "you're lying again." And reporting this post as off-topic and dishonest. If I can't call you a liar for this crap I'm sure going to report every lie. Especially when you lie about me: you destroyed nothing. I answered everything you said and I know it for a fact.

Shortly I'll start reporting you for harassment for making up lies about me.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Schneibster
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Schneibster »

Jccarlton wrote:Now that the shutdown is over I took a look at our commenter's favorite desmogblog post and frankly I feel like that old lady in the Wendy's hamburger commercial. Where's the data? lets compare:
Here's desmog:
http://www.desmogblog.com/2013/09/23/gl ... -on-record
And the text for the first little bit:
With the release of a major climate science report by the United Nations coming this week, the self-proclaimed climate "skeptics," better referred to as the climate deniers or flat-earthers, are kicking it into high gear for their fossil fuel clients and right wing ringleaders.
What report?
Ummm, AR5. Duh.
Jccarlton wrote:Now I think that most of us here know that this referring to the IPCC AR5.
Jccarlton master of the obvious.
Jccarlton wrote:The person who drops into the blog might not, but it sound official and scary.
Wut are you talking about? It's just a blog, duh.
Jccarlton wrote:Those deniers and flat earth types must be really stupid if they are not scared by the official UN report.
OK, I've already wasted five minutes of my life responding to this crap. Where's the data from the NOAA or NASA that the shutdown made available to you so now you can prove something? Where's the thing you're claiming you can now prove? What's any of this got to do with the government shutdown? Looks like you brought it up and are waving it around but it doesn't have anything to do with what you're saying.

Are you drunk?

You said "compare." Compare what?
Jccarlton wrote:Ok now he's being really scary, but this is only his opinion. What experts, where is he referring to and why are there no quotes and citations. Finally there is a link to an Noaa page, there must be some real data there, right?: http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories201 ... imate.html
Dude, this is incoherent. I'm done with this post; try to sleep it off before you post any more, OK?
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Schneibster
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Schneibster »

I'm going to assign your claims to have made any reply to the evidence from DeSmogBlog to you being drunk. I suggest you take that, thank me, and move on.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Schneibster
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Schneibster »

It's not enough to just post a link to a web site.

The material at the link has to be true. You keep forgetting that, seemingly.
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

Schneibster
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Schneibster »

Also, one more thought to consider: air pressure differs from place to place, and time to time. This is what makes wind blow, and what causes weather fronts. Pressures actually vary quite a lot, even at sea level. The highest pressures ever measured cluster around 32.00 inHg, 1083.644 mBar, and the lowest around 25.69 inHg, 869.963 mBar. That is, you will note, around 10%. You may not assume PV=nRT; the atmosphere is not at equilibrium. PV=nRT is only true in adiabatic expansions.

You've heard of barometers, right? You know they predict storms, right? You know they work, right? They're not superstition or anything; if the pressure goes down abruptly batten down the hatches and reef the sails 'cause it's comin' on to blow. Fifteenth century technology.

Technology that wouldn't work if the atmosphere were in equilibrium.

Not to mention the wind wouldn't blow.

Nice try though.

Oh, and my favorite Carlin joke: no weather. :D
We need a directorate of science, and we need it to be voted on only by scientists. You don't get to vote on reality. Get over it. Elected officials that deny the findings of the Science Directorate are subject to immediate impeachment for incompetence.

JLawson
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by JLawson »

Jccarlton wrote:What do we see here? Data, lots of it, all of it sourced. No name calling. Quotes from opposing viewpoints. This is a page that's intended to inform you, not scare you. It keeps to the point. It doesn't hit people, it gives them a platform and opens discussion. That is the way science is supposed to work. That is why Watt's is the top science blog. That's why it's good place to get informed. Whatever Tony Watts may have done in the past, or his credentials were, doesn't change the attitude and the professionalism that his blog reflects every day. That goes for the people who contribute as well, many of whom, regardless of their positions are geophysicists with degrees. Not that that matters. The important thing is access to the facts and to have some fun on the journey. That's what science is about. Even if desmog had any actual data, the hottest measured decade in history wouldn't be what we should be looking at. The important thing, which our commenter and desmog are ignoring is the trend. Which is downward. The Climate team knows that and that's why their worried that their gravy train might be coming to an end. The temperature trend is not a positive slope and hasn't been for a long time, as even James Hansen has acknowledged and no amount of waving the "hottest decade around, over and over is not going to change that. Waving that lying deceptive piece of crap over and over doesn't prove anything other than it's a lying piece of crap. Maybe the commenter could find real climate websites and do some real research to make his points. I would say that the sidebar of Watts is a good place to start but he's said that he isn't going there because he's afraid that his closed mind might get opened or something.
The fact it isn't trying to scare you means it's LYING!!!! Facts are LIES! The only truth is the model - reality is a LIE! /Schneibs /sarc

I've surveyed a lot of weather and AGW sites over the last decade or more. WUWT has consistently been science-based, laying out facts and figures. Other sites pushing AGW have consistently been emotionally based, wanting you to be fearful of AGW and insulting anyone who starts trying to drag out actual temperature records - or want to verify the accuracy of the data used and question the ability of the models to accurately simulate reality.

(As I've tried to point out before, a model that doesn't match observed reality isn't producing anything useful for forecasting the future.)

Like the subject of increased ice coverage - a disagreement arises that it's not the 'right kind' of ice coverage, which seems to overlook that for ice to form where there was no ice before requires lower temperatures. (Or at least, so it seems to go in the reality I exist in - perhaps in others ice forms when things warm, but I don't particularly want to visit that reality. The subject of a hot blizzard sweeping up out of the tropics and leaving layers of snow in the middle of summer that won't melt until fall just seems... wrong.)

In fact, it almost seems like belief in CAGW is much more of a religion than anything else. You only have to look at the reactions when the possibility that things may NOT be as bad as they say they are is mentioned. Someone worried about a catastrophe, say a diagnosis of cancer or worries about financial ruin, would usually be relieved when the impending doom is lifted or moderated.

But instead, the reaction is as if you've defiled their most holy ideals - denial, anger, and then lashing out in an attempt to drive the unbeliever away, lest he infect others with his heresy.

It's a puzzling dichotomy. Is the belief in AGW science, or religion? Or a case of a fraud running a scam as long as he can maintain it with the help of the 'true believing' gullible saps who WANT to believe?

Reality doesn't care about models. Ice doesn't care if it's the 'proper kind' or not - it'll form when the temperature gets below the freezing point of the liquid involved. If temperatures rise, more water evaporates, forming clouds that increase reflectivity and lower the temperatures below them... or can really drop temperatures fast, in the case of thunderstorms out in the Great Plains. Why, it's almost like there's some thermal regulation going on that isn't factored into the models.

And as others have pointed out - we didn't come close to temperatures of the MWP, and it looks like things are either stabilizing or cooling.

This is not to say we should shit our nest with impunity - but the constant drumbeat of 'we have to do (fill in expensive project) RIGHT NOW to save the world!' needs to be taken with a very large grain of salt.
When opinion and reality conflict - guess which one is going to win in the long run.

paperburn1
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by paperburn1 »

As far as CO2 in the upper atmosphere, I am right your wrong.
The observed CO2 increase is expected to gradually result in a cooler, more contracted upper atmosphere and a consequent reduction in the atmospheric drag experienced by satellites. The team published its findings in Nature Geoscience on November 11, 2012 - See more at:http://science.dodlive.mil/2012/11/16/p ... 2lC48.dpuf
and there are many sources out there that agree.
http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/sc ... mar_saber/
I suppose I could go on about the other items I submitted but I feel if its not worth your effort to check my veracity then its not worth mine to correct you.
I am not a nuclear physicist, but play one on the internet.

JLawson
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by JLawson »

paperburn1 wrote:As far as CO2 in the upper atmosphere, I am right your wrong.
The observed CO2 increase is expected to gradually result in a cooler, more contracted upper atmosphere and a consequent reduction in the atmospheric drag experienced by satellites. The team published its findings in Nature Geoscience on November 11, 2012 - See more at:http://science.dodlive.mil/2012/11/16/p ... 2lC48.dpuf
and there are many sources out there that agree.
http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/sc ... mar_saber/
I suppose I could go on about the other items I submitted but I feel if its not worth your effort to check my veracity then its not worth mine to correct you.
Interesting links - thanks for posting them!
When opinion and reality conflict - guess which one is going to win in the long run.

hanelyp
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by hanelyp »

paperburn1 wrote:The observed CO2 increase is expected to gradually result in a cooler, more contracted upper atmosphere and a consequent reduction in the atmospheric drag experienced by satellites.
Yes, the same CO2 that absorbs IR radiated from the ground in turn radiates heat from air in the upper atmosphere, serving as a radiative cooler. A point CAGW pushers tend to neglect.

But as I recall the original assertion was that a warmer atmosphere would expand. Whether CO2 was responsible for the warming was incidental to that.
The daylight is uncomfortably bright for eyes so long in the dark.

Jccarlton
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Jccarlton »

hanelyp wrote:
paperburn1 wrote:The observed CO2 increase is expected to gradually result in a cooler, more contracted upper atmosphere and a consequent reduction in the atmospheric drag experienced by satellites.
Yes, the same CO2 that absorbs IR radiated from the ground in turn radiates heat from air in the upper atmosphere, serving as a radiative cooler. A point CAGW pushers tend to neglect.

But as I recall the original assertion was that a warmer atmosphere would expand. Whether CO2 was responsible for the warming was incidental to that.
CO2 is a magic gas capable of doing all sorts of things you could have never imagined, the saintly geophysicists in the holy temples of CRU and GISS will tell you what you need to know.(sarc)

paperburn1
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by paperburn1 »

CO2 reacts differently in the upper atmosphere than the lower atmosphere . Both are two separate items when considering how all the gases react. I suggest you watch the NASA video it is very interesting. The paper and video I posted show this effect. Some have even postulated that the increase in CO2 in the upper atmosphere is a good thing. ( I would not go that far. Seem like unsupported science to me.)
I am not a nuclear physicist, but play one on the internet.

Jccarlton
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Jccarlton »

paperburn1 wrote:CO2 reacts differently in the upper atmosphere than the lower atmosphere . Both are two separate items when considering how all the gases react. I suggest you watch the NASA video it is very interesting. The paper and video I posted show this effect. Some have even postulated that the increase in CO2 in the upper atmosphere is a good thing. ( I would not go that far. Seem like unsupported science to me.)
The CO2 reacts the same way. It the effects of the reaction that are different due to density and other factors. And they did mention that the heating expanded the atmoshphere and increased satellite drag. One thing to think about is that the concentration of heavier gasses in the far upper atmosphere are likely to be greater than the lower atmosphere as the lighter gases get blown away by the solar wind.

choff
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by choff »

Just in case anyone wants to say there's no money involved.

http://www.euractiv.com/development-pol ... ews-531212
CHoff

Diogenes
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Diogenes »

Jccarlton wrote: CO2 is a magic gas capable of doing all sorts of things you could have never imagined, the saintly geophysicists in the holy temples of CRU and GISS will tell you what you need to know.(sarc)

And as I have pointed out for years, whatever it is that AGW people think CO2 does, Water Vapor does more of and better, and it is far more abundant.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Diogenes
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Re: Looks like the world didn't get the AGW memo...

Post by Diogenes »

Jccarlton wrote:
paperburn1 wrote:CO2 reacts differently in the upper atmosphere than the lower atmosphere . Both are two separate items when considering how all the gases react. I suggest you watch the NASA video it is very interesting. The paper and video I posted show this effect. Some have even postulated that the increase in CO2 in the upper atmosphere is a good thing. ( I would not go that far. Seem like unsupported science to me.)
The CO2 reacts the same way. It the effects of the reaction that are different due to density and other factors. And they did mention that the heating expanded the atmoshphere and increased satellite drag. One thing to think about is that the concentration of heavier gasses in the far upper atmosphere are likely to be greater than the lower atmosphere as the lighter gases get blown away by the solar wind.

Expanded atmosphere would result in the sun's rays being reflected at a higher altitude and from a wider area. I would think this would tend toward being a negative feedback effect.


I would think that anytime you intercept light at a higher elevation it is less likely to cause lower level heating.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

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