
More sea stories when the time and place feels right.
This is the "Technology Proliferation Paradox".And what happens when this sort of technology makes itself into Pakistani, or North Korean, or Iranian hands?
The faster you run the harder it is to stay ahead.ladajo wrote:This is the "Technology Proliferation Paradox".And what happens when this sort of technology makes itself into Pakistani, or North Korean, or Iranian hands?
As we make cooler stuff, it becomes easier and cheaper for those who are not up to speed to get things we may not want them to have.
A corrollary is the concept that they will get a percentage of capability.
It puts us in a position where we feel we need to accellerate and open the capabilities gap to maintain an edge, but in turn this activity improves the access to technology for those we build against.
Raptor Resurrected: What Will it Take to Restart F-22 Fighter Production?In a Christmas gift for Chinese fighter pilots, December 25th saw the unveiling of a new J-20 fighter in fresh yellow fuselage primer on the runway of the Chengdu Aviation Corporation (CAC) factory. More notable than its paint color, however, was the numbering of the plane: "2101." As opposed to "2018" or "2019" to follow the eighth flying prototype "2017," "2101" suggests the plane is the first of the low rate initial production (LRIP) airframes, which signify the move away from prototype production to building fighters for actual military use.
LRIP is the stage in the program where CAC will build enough production fighters (about 12-24) for test and evaluation flights by the PLAAF to understand the J-20's capabilities, before further committing to large-scale production. Initial operational capability should come around in the 2018-2019 timeframe, once the Chinese Test Flight Establishment (CTFE) regiment develops the technical proficiency and competence to use the J-20 to the fullest in combat operations.
H.R. 4909—FY17 NATIONAL DEFENSE AUTHORIZATION BILLIndeed, the production tooling could be a serious problem. While Lockheed and the Air Force supposedly made every effort to carefully squirrel away the tooling and instructions for building the F-22, problems have emerged when maintenance crews have attempted to pull the equipment in order to repair damaged jets. One recently retired Air Force official with direct knowledge about the service’s efforts to repair two damaged Raptors said that they faced severe difficulties with retrieving the correct tooling.
In one example, Air Force maintainers needed to build a particular component from scratch to replace a severely damaged part for an F-22. The crews went into the Conex boxes where the tooling and instructions to build the part were allegedly stored, but to their considerable surprise and aggravation, the container was empty. The same pattern repeated itself several times—and as of the last time the source checked–the issue has not been completely resolved. The bottom line is that even if the Air Force wanted to, it may not be physically possible to restart the line—at least not without a huge additional investment in time and money.
AIRCRAFT PROCUREMENT, AIR FORCE
Items of Special Interest
F-22 production restart assessment
The committee notes that production of the F-22 fifth-generation tactical
aircraft concluded in 2009, and notes 187 aircraft were produced, far short of the
initial program objective of 749 aircraft, as well as the Air Combat Command’s
stated requirement of 381 aircraft. The committee also understands there has been
interest within the Department of the Air Force, Department of Defense, and
Congress in potentially restarting production of the F-22 aircraft. In light of
growing threats to U.S. air superiority as a result of adversaries closing the
technology gap and increasing demand from allies and partners for highperformance,
multi-role aircraft to meet evolving and worsening global security
threats, the committee believes that such proposals are worthy of further
exploration.
Therefore, the committee directs the Secretary of the Air Force to conduct a
comprehensive assessment and study of the costs associated with resuming
production of F-22 aircraft and provide a report to the congressional defense
committees, not later than January 1, 2017, on the findings of this assessment.