Diogenes wrote:North Korean Communist dynasty goes into its third generation
The world's only hereditary communist dynasty is going into its third generation, as the secretive dictatorship in Pyongyang announced to its people Sunday that the "Dear Leader" died the day before, allegedly of a heart attack brought on by overwork. Power is passing to the youngest of his three sons, Kim Jong-un, now known as the "Great Successor," formerly labeled by the regime as the "Brilliant Comrade."
ladajo wrote:It is the flat eyes the worry me. This child is going to be pressured into acts to "confirm" his legitamacy (of which he really has none). The best assessment I can forward is the the exisitng power structure (elites) are seeking to sustain themselves. Whether or not this sustainment will include the NOOB remains to be seen. That in itself adds to the pressures he is facing to remain relevant and even to some extent alive. There is alos a large pressure on the elites to perpetuate the mythical "regime" as they believe (and somewhat rightly so for now) that the populace sees the "regime" as a religion. So while there are some pressures to toos him out with the trash, there are others to retain and control him as a useful idiot. However, the longer term risk in that is that he may not remain an idiot. He also has family members placed around him to help maintain his "post". His sister and brother in law are at the top of the foodchain as well. It is a complex setup that will either play out simply, or get real messy real fast. In the end, the North Koreans (elites) can not sustain as is. Some of them know it, some do not. the people still do not. The center of gravity for NK is the people. Until someone takes a truly active effort to accellerate the awareness of the people to the rest of the world, and alternative reality, this (NK) will mudde along while the populace slowly dies off. No matter how you look at things, an attempt to sustain will lead to collapse. It is not an if, it is a when. The elites are all in, and have been for a while, by design of the regime. They believe it is a right to be elite, and also some of the brighter ones understand that to fail as a elite means death or worse. The really bright ones know that it will all fail down the road, but are trying to pad themselves for the crash.
The really frightening part is that if the military elite says "go" for whatever reason, the military will try to "go", and a number of them fanatically so. The entire nation exists in a surreal reality that we can not truly comprehend from the outside. As I said above, the best approach to the entire thing is to engage the people of NK, not the elites. Show them that they really are getting the dirty end of the stick, and that they do not have to.
NK is not going to end well no matter what. But it will end at some point. I give it less than ten years, with a good chance of sooner given the sudden placement of Little Fat Man as the new god.
Your description could almost apply to the Ponzi scheme that has become American Money and Economics.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —
