I realized today that I had been thinking incorrectly about Rider’s basic arguments against the polywell. I think I have found a better way to explain his work.
Rider basically argues that if you have a “blob” of hot fusing plasma, you cannot expect to get net power.
What is a “blob”? A blob of plasma has the following properties:
1. Quasineutral: All the (+) and (-) are equally mixed together.
2. Isentropic: The plasma looks the same, in every direction.
3. Thermalized: The energy distribution is a bell curve. Both the electrons and ions have the same distribution.
4. Uniform: The density and fuel mix of the plasma is basically uniform everywhere.
5. Unstructured: there is no structure. No concentration of (+) or (-), no “virtual anode” no “edge annealing effect” no “14 point star” or “whiffle ball effect”, ect…
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Anything about the Polywell plasma, which removes it from the “blob” should improve the performance.
1. If the cloud has ANY structure: (whiffle ball, virtual anode, edge annealing effect, 14 point star, ect…)
2. If the cloud has ANY energy distribution which is not a bell curve: (bimodal, tri-modal, ect…)
3. If the electrons and ions can have different energy distributions.
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Here is the first part of Riders analysis. He start by assuming the polywell has a “blob” in it. He then models this cloud, using general plasma equations from Lyman J Spitzer’s book “The physics of fully ionized gases”. It is all statistics, over large particle populations with assumptions. He calculates:
1. The volumetric fusion rate.

2. The time it takes for an ion to fuse

3. The energy transfer rate between two ion clouds

Can one ion group be kept hot against another colder group? To solve this, Rider separates the clouds into two. These are “hot” ions and “cold” ions. He first finds two equations:
4. The ion to ion heating rate.

5. The ion to ion cooling rate. This is solely due to the replacement of hot fused ions with cold ions coming in from outside.

Rider sets these rates equal to one another and finds the temperature of one of the ion populations.

Using this math, Rider argues you cannot keep one ion population at two different temperatures. He examines two cases for this. In the first case, some ions are kept cold by swapping fused hot ions with fresh cold ones. Using the equation above, he argues, that this will only allow a 5% variation in temperature.
In the second case, some ions are kept cold by refrigeration. To solve this he estimates average velocity of an ion.
6. The average speed of an ion:

He uses this speed to estimate how fast cold ions transfer energy to hot ions. This equation is divided by the fusion rate and he comes up with this expression.

In his paper he throws in some numbers for boron fusion and shows the ratio to be 1.4. This means the machine would need more energy than it could make. I am not sure he explored all situations, to see if this equation could ever be less than one.
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Based on these calculations Rider will, from now on, assume all clouds of ions have the same average temperature. It is these kinds of calculations that form part of the argument against the polywell. They would not hold up against actual data from a working machine.