Bussard's bremsstrahlung calculation
Posted: Thu Jun 04, 2009 12:14 pm
The point keeps coming up, whether in a polywell burning p-B11 the bremsstrahlung losses might be smaller than the fusion power. Bussard and Nebel believe it might be possible, as far as I can tell based on "Bremsstrahlung radiation losses in polywell systems", EMC2 technical report EMC2-0891-04 from 1991. (There are supplementary analyses, in particular graphs of the power ratio under various assumptions in report EMC2-1291-02 from the same year, titled "Bremsstrahlung and synchrotron radiation losses in polywell systems".) The best known paper arguing that bremsstrahlung losses will always kill p-B11 is "Fundamental Limitations on Plasma Fusion Systems Not in Thermodynamic Equilibrium", the doctoral thesis of Todd Rider from 1995.
We may first note that the paper by Bussard is not peer-reviewed and appeared before the work by Rider, so one might presume that Rider's work more nearly reflects the state of the art - but I want to evaluate the physics here, not the sociology.
The physics of bremsstrahlung is well understood, so there is no disagreement between Bussard and Rider about the formulas to use. Both of them assume quasi-neutrality and correctly optimize the free parameters, such as fuel mix and temperature/energy. There are differences in the energy distributions they use, but the most importatnt difference is that Rider asks additional questions that Bussard does not.
Bussard's calculation is heavily trimmed to his conception of how the polywell operates.This conception is largely unproven and is open to criticism on a number of fronts, but it is legitimate to work with it. If it could be shown that there is some set of conditions where the bremsstrahlung problem can be beat, then we could all examine more closely whether those conditions might actually be achievable somehow.
Bussard's most important assumptions are that the ion and electron distributions are mono-energetic, and that the plasma is inhomogeneous in potential. He believes (correctly) that the distribution can be maintained if the lifetime of particles in the system is short compared to the collision time. Rider considers a parameterized energy distribution that includes the monoenergetic distribution as a limiting case (and the Maxwellian distribution as another limit). Rider, however, asks a question that Bussard does not, namely how much energy has to be recirculated in order to maintain a non-Maxwellian distribution. Rider does not specify how the energy might be recirculated, but I think he would have no problem accomodating Bussard's idea. The point is that particles that acquire a different energy through collisions must be removed from the system and re-injected with the proper energy. In principle, you can recover the energy from the particles when they leave and use it to power your injector, but the slightest inefficiency will ruin your power balance.
The assumption of mono-energetic particles, however, is not the crux of the problem. I believe Bussard's favorable results are primarily the result of his assumption that the electron energy is low where the ion energy is high (in the core of the machine). The standard analysis (first done long before either Bussard or Rider) assumes that the electron temperature is fixed by a balance between heating by collisions with the ions and cooling by radiation. If the energy transfer from the high energy ions to the low energy electrons works like the energy transfer with Maxwellian distributions, then the large difference in energies would result in a cooling of the ions which is much worse than that from bremsstrahlung.
Bussard argues that the transfer from the ions to the electrons in the core is off-set by a transfer from the electrons to the ions in the regions of high potential, where the electrons are energetic and the ions are not. The idea bothered me for a long time before I could put my finger on the problem: entropy. If there is a closed cycle of energy transfer like this:
core ions -> core electrons -> halo electrons -> halo ions -> core ions ...
then you could build a perpetual motion machine by tapping into those energy flows. You could extract high-quality (low-entropy) energy and replace it with low-quality heat.
There may be another favorable effect Bussard does not mention. I believe the rate of energy transfer from the ions to the electrons will be suppressed by the hole in the middle of the electron distribution, where the electrons would have a similar velocity to the ions. This would in principle allow a lower electron energy and thus less bremsstrahlung. This is the effect Rider set out to quantify. The suppression of bremsstrahlung is real, but the cost is high, in the sense defined above that the recirculating power for a non-Maxwellian distribution is prohibitively high. If there is some clever way of recirculating that power with extremely small losses, it hasn't been published yet. I can't imagine any. Neither could Rider, although he tried a lot harder than I did. A serious defense of a p-B11 polywell has to address this issue.
Bussard mentioned "detailed calculations", but he didn't publish them, or even describe them. Considering the difficulties I have identified, I believe extreme skepticism is appropriate that he really had calculations that prove what he claimed. Until such calculations have been published and examined for correctness and completeness by experts, we have every reason to accept Rider's conclusions.
(This post is finally complete. And long.)
We may first note that the paper by Bussard is not peer-reviewed and appeared before the work by Rider, so one might presume that Rider's work more nearly reflects the state of the art - but I want to evaluate the physics here, not the sociology.
The physics of bremsstrahlung is well understood, so there is no disagreement between Bussard and Rider about the formulas to use. Both of them assume quasi-neutrality and correctly optimize the free parameters, such as fuel mix and temperature/energy. There are differences in the energy distributions they use, but the most importatnt difference is that Rider asks additional questions that Bussard does not.
Bussard's calculation is heavily trimmed to his conception of how the polywell operates.This conception is largely unproven and is open to criticism on a number of fronts, but it is legitimate to work with it. If it could be shown that there is some set of conditions where the bremsstrahlung problem can be beat, then we could all examine more closely whether those conditions might actually be achievable somehow.
Bussard's most important assumptions are that the ion and electron distributions are mono-energetic, and that the plasma is inhomogeneous in potential. He believes (correctly) that the distribution can be maintained if the lifetime of particles in the system is short compared to the collision time. Rider considers a parameterized energy distribution that includes the monoenergetic distribution as a limiting case (and the Maxwellian distribution as another limit). Rider, however, asks a question that Bussard does not, namely how much energy has to be recirculated in order to maintain a non-Maxwellian distribution. Rider does not specify how the energy might be recirculated, but I think he would have no problem accomodating Bussard's idea. The point is that particles that acquire a different energy through collisions must be removed from the system and re-injected with the proper energy. In principle, you can recover the energy from the particles when they leave and use it to power your injector, but the slightest inefficiency will ruin your power balance.
The assumption of mono-energetic particles, however, is not the crux of the problem. I believe Bussard's favorable results are primarily the result of his assumption that the electron energy is low where the ion energy is high (in the core of the machine). The standard analysis (first done long before either Bussard or Rider) assumes that the electron temperature is fixed by a balance between heating by collisions with the ions and cooling by radiation. If the energy transfer from the high energy ions to the low energy electrons works like the energy transfer with Maxwellian distributions, then the large difference in energies would result in a cooling of the ions which is much worse than that from bremsstrahlung.
Bussard argues that the transfer from the ions to the electrons in the core is off-set by a transfer from the electrons to the ions in the regions of high potential, where the electrons are energetic and the ions are not. The idea bothered me for a long time before I could put my finger on the problem: entropy. If there is a closed cycle of energy transfer like this:
core ions -> core electrons -> halo electrons -> halo ions -> core ions ...
then you could build a perpetual motion machine by tapping into those energy flows. You could extract high-quality (low-entropy) energy and replace it with low-quality heat.
There may be another favorable effect Bussard does not mention. I believe the rate of energy transfer from the ions to the electrons will be suppressed by the hole in the middle of the electron distribution, where the electrons would have a similar velocity to the ions. This would in principle allow a lower electron energy and thus less bremsstrahlung. This is the effect Rider set out to quantify. The suppression of bremsstrahlung is real, but the cost is high, in the sense defined above that the recirculating power for a non-Maxwellian distribution is prohibitively high. If there is some clever way of recirculating that power with extremely small losses, it hasn't been published yet. I can't imagine any. Neither could Rider, although he tried a lot harder than I did. A serious defense of a p-B11 polywell has to address this issue.
Bussard mentioned "detailed calculations", but he didn't publish them, or even describe them. Considering the difficulties I have identified, I believe extreme skepticism is appropriate that he really had calculations that prove what he claimed. Until such calculations have been published and examined for correctness and completeness by experts, we have every reason to accept Rider's conclusions.
(This post is finally complete. And long.)